Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 19.7% chance and Racing Santander beat Málaga with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Champions League | 25.6% | 15.3% | −10.3 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 32.7% | 22.7% | −10.0 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 23.5% | 33.3% | +9.8 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 40.5% | 49.4% | +8.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 23.7% | 14.9% | −8.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 25.4% | 16.9% | −8.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 66.3% | 74.4% | +8.1 |
| Xerez | Relegation | 50.7% | 58.6% | +8.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 39.7% | 47.6% | +7.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 18.9% | 11.5% | −7.3 |
