Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Valencia with a 24.7% chance and Getafe beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 25 (before the first match) against those on March 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 47.0% | 26.9% | −20.1 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 63.3% | 81.2% | +17.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 36.9% | 21.4% | −15.6 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 8.9% | 19.0% | +10.1 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 10.7% | 19.2% | +8.6 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 29.9% | 37.5% | +7.6 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 5.6% | 12.2% | +6.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 36.2% | 31.7% | −4.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 50.6% | 53.9% | +3.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 49.4% | 46.1% | −3.3 |
