Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 13.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 15 (before the first match) against those on March 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Champions League | 28.3% | 45.0% | +16.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 76.0% | 61.6% | −14.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 28.9% | 42.9% | +14.0 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 68.0% | 81.3% | +13.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 54.6% | 41.3% | −13.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 21.6% | 11.5% | −10.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 81.1% | 91.0% | +9.9 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 33.8% | 43.4% | +9.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 15.8% | 8.2% | −7.6 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 11.2% | 4.8% | −6.4 |
