Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Sevilla with a 14.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 3 (before the first match) against those on January 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 53.5% | 39.3% | −14.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 66.6% | 77.6% | +11.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 21.3% | 29.6% | +8.3 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 49.7% | 57.6% | +8.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 23.3% | 31.2% | +7.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 14.8% | 7.2% | −7.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 23.3% | 16.3% | −6.9 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 40.0% | 33.6% | −6.4 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 14.5% | 8.4% | −6.1 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 30.3% | 35.7% | +5.4 |
