Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Sevilla with a 13.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 29 (before the first match) against those on December 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 35.1% | 55.5% | +20.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 40.0% | 24.0% | −16.0 |
| Xerez | Relegation | 69.1% | 84.5% | +15.3 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 38.0% | 22.9% | −15.1 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 31.4% | 18.9% | −12.5 |
| Sporting Gijón | Europa League | 21.3% | 8.9% | −12.4 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 8.4% | 19.8% | +11.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 87.1% | 96.6% | +9.5 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 50.0% | 40.8% | −9.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 26.1% | 35.1% | +9.0 |
