Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Espanyol with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 2 (before the first match) against those on December 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 38.4% | 24.4% | −14.0 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 49.8% | 38.7% | −11.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 39.4% | 29.1% | −10.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 58.5% | 68.2% | +9.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 10.7% | 18.4% | +7.7 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 22.2% | 29.7% | +7.5 |
| Xerez | Relegation | 74.7% | 81.6% | +6.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 34.3% | 40.9% | +6.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 70.8% | 64.4% | −6.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 56.1% | 62.1% | +6.0 |
