Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Espanyol with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Relegation | 20.7% | 10.3% | −10.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 46.9% | 39.3% | −7.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 57.2% | 63.4% | +6.1 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 26.2% | 32.2% | +6.1 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 12.9% | 7.3% | −5.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 24.6% | 29.5% | +4.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 29.8% | 34.7% | +4.9 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 49.9% | 53.8% | +3.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 33.9% | 30.0% | −3.9 |
| Almería | Europa League | 9.4% | 6.0% | −3.4 |
