Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 27 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 50.7% | 25.0% | −25.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 62.8% | 80.0% | +17.2 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 15.9% | 30.5% | +14.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 17.2% | 3.6% | −13.7 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 63.2% | 73.4% | +10.2 |
| Almería | Europa League | 8.9% | 2.1% | −6.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 60.4% | 67.1% | +6.6 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 19.9% | 26.4% | +6.5 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 7.4% | 10.9% | +3.6 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 3.9% | 0.6% | −3.3 |