Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Osasuna with a 23.6% chance, Deportivo La Coruña beat Real Murcia with a 24.5% chance, and Real Valladolid beat Real Zaragoza with a 10.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 50.7% | 38.4% | −12.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 49.7% | 37.8% | −11.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 49.9% | 38.6% | −11.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 22.9% | 34.1% | +11.2 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 27.2% | 38.0% | +10.8 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 31.7% | 21.1% | −10.6 |
| Almería | Relegation | 18.7% | 29.2% | +10.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 61.0% | 71.3% | +10.3 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 17.5% | 27.5% | +10.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 20.3% | 30.2% | +9.9 |
