Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 15.9% chance, Real Valladolid beat Espanyol with a 15.2% chance, Villarreal beat Valencia with a 24.5% chance, and Real Murcia beat Real Zaragoza with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | Relegation | 40.6% | 22.6% | −18.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 33.9% | 51.2% | +17.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 37.4% | 22.4% | −15.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 41.5% | 56.2% | +14.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 22.9% | 35.8% | +12.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 16.4% | 28.6% | +12.2 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 46.1% | 34.3% | −11.9 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 12.8% | 23.1% | +10.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 35.5% | 25.7% | −9.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 29.7% | 20.5% | −9.2 |
