Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Osasuna with a 11.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 34.9% | 48.6% | +13.8 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 44.8% | 32.7% | −12.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 54.4% | 66.4% | +12.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 52.1% | 42.4% | −9.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 57.4% | 48.3% | −9.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 12.2% | 20.4% | +8.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 70.6% | 62.7% | −7.9 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 32.2% | 24.5% | −7.6 |
| Gimnàstic de Tarragona | Relegation | 49.4% | 57.0% | +7.6 |
| Valencia | Champion | 23.7% | 16.2% | −7.6 |
