Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Celta Vigo with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 6 (before the first match) against those on May 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 44.2% | 80.9% | +36.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 49.7% | 81.4% | +31.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 33.3% | 5.8% | −27.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 67.6% | 45.5% | −22.1 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 21.1% | 3.9% | −17.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 23.8% | 39.5% | +15.8 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 19.6% | 5.3% | −14.2 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 12.9% | 1.8% | −11.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 90.3% | 98.7% | +8.4 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 9.7% | 1.3% | −8.4 |
