Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Real Betis with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 8 (before the first match) against those on April 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 54.0% | 70.7% | +16.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 42.2% | 25.9% | −16.3 |
| Levante | Relegation | 44.1% | 59.3% | +15.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 59.5% | 74.4% | +14.9 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 35.8% | 24.8% | −11.0 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 25.1% | 16.1% | −9.0 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 20.6% | 11.7% | −8.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 33.0% | 24.2% | −8.8 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 19.2% | 26.9% | +7.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 16.1% | 8.9% | −7.2 |
