Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Numancia beat Athletic Club with a 11.8% chance and Mallorca beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 15 (before the first match) against those on May 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 69.7% | 16.4% | −53.3 |
| Levante | Relegation | 30.3% | 83.6% | +53.3 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 39.4% | 57.9% | +18.5 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 63.7% | 80.3% | +16.6 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 37.0% | 52.6% | +15.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 30.7% | 16.2% | −14.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 61.8% | 47.4% | −14.4 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 54.2% | 42.1% | −12.1 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 10.7% | 3.6% | −7.1 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 12.3% | 8.8% | −3.4 |
