Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 15.7% chance, Real Sociedad beat Real Betis with a 20.0% chance, and Sevilla beat Athletic Club with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 17 (before the first match) against those on April 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 40.2% | 68.3% | +28.1 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 35.3% | 13.0% | −22.3 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 31.2% | 43.7% | +12.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 66.0% | 54.6% | −11.4 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 22.1% | 33.4% | +11.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 17.6% | 7.2% | −10.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 34.3% | 44.2% | +9.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 23.6% | 32.9% | +9.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 12.9% | 4.2% | −8.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 30.9% | 24.3% | −6.6 |
