Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Sevilla with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 6 (before the first match) against those on March 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 27.8% | 13.0% | −14.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 61.0% | 75.8% | +14.7 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 41.8% | 56.1% | +14.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 32.1% | 18.0% | −14.1 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 69.4% | 83.4% | +14.0 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 17.6% | 29.8% | +12.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 42.5% | 30.9% | −11.6 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 20.7% | 10.2% | −10.5 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 38.6% | 29.6% | −9.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 11.8% | 4.9% | −6.9 |
