Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Real Murcia with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 4 (before the first match) against those on January 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champion | 30.8% | 43.9% | +13.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 56.8% | 45.0% | −11.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 17.7% | 9.2% | −8.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 27.6% | 36.0% | +8.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 17.1% | 25.2% | +8.2 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 33.2% | 40.7% | +7.5 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 83.3% | 90.4% | +7.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 89.9% | 83.9% | −6.0 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 11.7% | 6.0% | −5.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 13.7% | 8.0% | −5.7 |
