Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Recreativo Huelva beat Real Valladolid with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 23 (before the first match) against those on April 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 31.1% | 45.5% | +14.3 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 25.3% | 39.0% | +13.7 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 34.1% | 21.1% | −13.0 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 34.0% | 25.6% | −8.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 7.0% | 15.4% | +8.4 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 91.2% | 82.8% | −8.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 75.7% | 83.1% | +7.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 15.7% | 8.8% | −6.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 69.5% | 62.6% | −6.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 63.8% | 70.5% | +6.7 |
