Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sevilla beat Celta Vigo with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 26 (before the first match) against those on February 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 45.2% | 63.3% | +18.1 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 49.2% | 34.1% | −15.1 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 18.2% | 27.7% | +9.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 24.8% | 15.7% | −9.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 43.4% | 51.6% | +8.2 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 17.7% | 9.6% | −8.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 44.5% | 36.5% | −7.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 32.0% | 24.6% | −7.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 75.5% | 82.1% | +6.6 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 14.3% | 7.7% | −6.6 |
