Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Mallorca with a 17.7% chance, Real Valladolid beat Real Madrid with a 19.0% chance, and Real Betis beat Numancia with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 14 (before the first match) against those on May 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 71.3% | 0% | −71.3 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 28.7% | 100% | +71.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 49.7% | 100% | +50.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 50.3% | 0% | −50.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 35.1% | 0% | −35.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 64.9% | 100% | +35.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 22.6% | 0% | −22.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 77.4% | 100% | +22.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 85.8% | 100% | +14.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 11.9% | 0% | −11.9 |
