Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 27 (before the first match) against those on March 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 35.2% | 21.4% | −13.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 33.4% | 45.7% | +12.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 64.9% | 53.9% | −11.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 15.9% | 6.3% | −9.6 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 11.9% | 19.3% | +7.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 72.9% | 66.8% | −6.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 62.8% | 68.7% | +5.9 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 18.0% | 12.2% | −5.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 28.6% | 34.4% | +5.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 11.2% | 5.5% | −5.8 |
