FIFA
Competitions
World Cup 2026
probability by zone| # | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Advance | Round of 16 | Quarterfinals | Semifinals | Final | Champion | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mexico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 100% | 57.3% | 31.3% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | |
| 2 |  Brazil | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 100% | 52.1% | 26.7% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | |
| 3 |  Morocco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 100% | 50.8% | 29.0% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | |
| 4 |  Switzerland | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 100% | 56.0% | 29.8% | 15.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | |
| 5 |  Germany | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 100% | 59.5% | 32.0% | 17.1% | 9.0% | 4.8% | |
| 6 |  France | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 100% | 58.9% | 32.0% | 17.7% | 9.7% | 5.4% | |
| 7 |  United States | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 100% | 57.1% | 32.2% | 17.6% | 9.2% | 4.6% | |
| 8 |  Argentina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 100% | 60.3% | 34.3% | 18.4% | 10.0% | 5.7% | |
| 9 |  Norway | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 100% | 56.2% | 28.3% | 14.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | |
| 10 |  Colombia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 100% | 57.1% | 30.5% | 16.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% | |
| 11 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 100% | 49.2% | 27.4% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | |
| 12 |  Japan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 100% | 47.9% | 24.1% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | |
| 13 |  Canada | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | >99.9% | 53.6% | 24.5% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | |
| 14 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | >99.9% | 40.1% | 17.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 15 |  England | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | >99.9% | 52.2% | 27.1% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% | |
| 16 |  Ghana | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | >99.9% | 42.6% | 19.3% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 17 |  Portugal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | >99.9% | 53.4% | 26.9% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | |
| 18 |  Spain | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | >99.9% | 52.3% | 28.0% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | |
| 19 |  Egypt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | >99.9% | 51.8% | 25.9% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | |
| 20 |  South Africa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 100% | 46.5% | 19.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | |
| 21 |  Sweden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | >99.9% | 45.4% | 21.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | |
| 22 |  Austria | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 96.2% | 45.2% | 21.7% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | |
| 23 |  Australia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 94.0% | 47.1% | 22.2% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | |
| 24 |  Côte d’Ivoire | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 43.2% | 19.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 25 |  Croatia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 95.2% | 47.0% | 23.9% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | |
| 26 |  South Korea | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 97.0% | 42.7% | 19.5% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | |
| 27 |  Algeria | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 75.1% | 34.8% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | |
| 28 |  Paraguay | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 70.2% | 33.4% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | |
| 29 |  Scotland | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 56.2% | 22.9% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 30 |  Uruguay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 57.8% | 28.2% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | |
| 31 |  Cape Verde | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 63.9% | 24.7% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 32 |  Iran | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 59.3% | 29.7% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 33 |  Belgium | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 75.7% | 38.4% | 18.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 34 |  Ecuador | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | |
| 35 |  Curaçao | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | |
| 36 |  DR Congo | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 41.4% | 16.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 37 |  New Zealand | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 38 |  Czechia | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 |  Saudi Arabia | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 36.1% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 40 |  Qatar | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 |  Panama | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 |  Senegal | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 44.8% | 20.2% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 43 |  Jordan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 |  Türkiye | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 |  Haiti | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 |  Iraq | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 11.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 47 |  Uzbekistan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | <0.1% | |
| 48 |  Tunisia | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |